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Featured, Analysis, June 2018 Issue |
July 2018

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U.S. Unemployment Rate

Unemployment trends remain strong, as indicated above. The most recent unemployment rate was 3.9%, with 164,000 new jobs recorded in the most recent month. Interestingly, the ISM Manufacturing report for April indicated a decline in sector employment.

U.S. & World Equity Indexes; 5/30/18; YTD Return S&P 500; 2,689; 0.60% Dow Jones Industrials; 24,361; −1.40% Nasdaq Composite; 7,396; 7.10% Shanghai Composite (China); 2,102; −5.60% S&P BSE Sensex (India); 34,949; 2.60% Nikkei Stock Avg (Japan); 22,358; −1.80% CAC 40 (France); 5,438; 2.40% DAX (Germany); 12,666; −1.90% FTSE 100 (U.K.); 7,632; −0.70%
Selected Interest Rates; 5/30/18; 4/27/18 15-Year Mortgage; 4.15%; 4.02% 30-Year Mortgage; 4.66%; 4.58% 5-Year Treasury Bond; 2.58%; 2.80% 10-Year Treasury Bond; 2.77%; 2.96% 30-Year Treasury Bond; 2.96%; 3.13%
Key Economic Statistics; Most Recent; Prior Month National Producer Price Index; 0.10%; 0.30% Consumer Price Index; 0.20%; -0.10% Unemployment Rate; 3.90%; 4.10% ISM Manufacturing Index; 57.30; 59.30 ISM Services Index; 56.80; 58.80 Change in Non-Farm Payroll Emp.; 164,000; 136,000 New York State Consumer Price Index - NY, NJ, CT; 0.30%; 0.10% Unemployment Rate; 4.60%; 4.60% NYS Index of Coincident Indicators; 3.20%; 3.20%

ISM Manufacturing PMI

The PMI Manufacturing Index measures economic activity in the manufacturing sector. The March and April reports were lower than the recent cycle peak (February 2018), indicating a modest cooling in the sector.

Equity Market Statistics; Most Recent; Prior Month Dow Jones Industrials; 5/30/18; 4/27/18 Dividend Yield; 2.30%; 2.28% Price/Earnings (12 Mth Trailing); 23.87; 24.92 Price/Earnings (Projected); 16.16; 16.36 S&P 500 Index; 5/30/18; 4/27/18 Dividend Yield; 1.97%; 1.96% Price/Earnings (12 Mth Trailing); 24.33; 24.33 Price/Earnings (Projected); 16.47; 16.49

The information herein was obtained from various sources believed to be accurate; however, Forté Capital does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. This report was prepared for general information purposes only. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer to buy or sell any securities, options, or futures contracts. Forté Capital’s Proprietary Market Risk Barometer is a summary of 30 indicators and is copyrighted by Forté Capital LLC. For further information, visit www.fortecapital.com, send a message to info@forte-capital.com, or call 866-586-8100 and ask for David W. Henion, CPA, or Larry H. Rabinowitz, CPA/PFS.

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