U.S. Treasury Yield Curve The U.S. Treasury yield curve is inverted from 30 days to 3 years, reflecting the fear of an economic slowdown due…
Non-farm payroll The U.S. economy continues its modest growth trajectory, with non-farm payroll growing by 195,000 per month on average. The overall labor market remains…
Quarterly Real U.S. GDP Growth Estimates for 2019 gross domestic product are coming down; while the first quarter ended with a 3.1% growth rate, evidence…
ISM Manufacturing PMI The most recent ISM Manufacturing Index increased 2.3% from December 2018, indicating expanding business strength fostered by stronger demand and output. The…
Real Wages—All Employees After many years of stagnant real wage growth (adjusted for inflation), the U.S. labor market saw improvement in wages paid. This was…
Quarterly Real U.S. GDP Growth The U.S. economy is coming off of its tax cut–induced bump. Estimates of 2019 GDP are coming down, as indicated…
Quarterly U.S. GDP Growth Providing a counterpoint to the ISM data, second-quarter U.S. GDP was revised up from 4.1% to 4.2%, which was slightly better…
Quarterly U.S. GDP Growth First quarter GDP growth was 2.63%, the lowest in four quarters; however, the expectations for the current quarter range from 3%…
U.S. Unemployment Rate The U.S. unemployment rate remained at 4.1% for the sixth straight month. More robust economic growth, due in part to the federal…
GDP Fourth quarter U.S. GDP was revised up to 2.9%, completing a year that saw GDP grow at 2.3%. While the first quarter of 2018…
General Commentary On the whole, the most recent economic data portends a slight lessening of domestic growth. While employment trends are positive, the ISM manufacturing…